Vose, David. <br/><br/>
Risk analysis :  a quantitative guide / 
David Vose. 
 - 3rd ed. 
 - Chichester, England ;  Hoboken, NJ :  Wiley,  2008 
 - xiv, 735 p. :  ill. ;  26 cm. 
<br/><br/>Includes bibliographical references and index 
<br/><br/>Why do a risk analysis? -- Planning a risk analysis -- The quality of a risk analysis -- Choice of model structure -- Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis -- Probability mathematics and simulation -- Building and running a model -- Some basic random processes -- Data and statistics -- Fitting distributions to data -- Sums of random variables -- Forecasting with uncertainty -- Modelling correlation and dependencies -- Eliciting from expert opinion -- Testing and modelling causal relationships -- Optimisation in risk analysis -- Checking and validating a model -- Discounted cashflow modelling -- Project risk analysis -- Insurance and finance risk analysis modelling -- Microbial food safety risk assessment -- Animal import risk assessment. 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>0470512849 (cloth : alk. paper) 9780470512845 (cloth : alk. paper) 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Monte Carlo method.<br/>Risk assessment --Mathematical models.
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Index Terms: </label>Quản lý điều hành  Quản lý rủi ro Toán học  
<br/><br/><label>LC Class. No.: </label>QA298   / .V67 2008 
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>658.4/0352