TY  - BOOK
AU  - Vose,David
TI  - Risk analysis: a quantitative guide 
SN  - 0470512849 (cloth : alk. paper)
AV  - QA298  .V67 2008
U1  - 658.4/0352 22
PY  - 2008///
CY  - Chichester, England, Hoboken, NJ
PB  - Wiley
KW  - Monte Carlo method
KW  - Risk assessment
KW  - Mathematical models
KW  - Quản lý điều hành
KW  - Quản lý rủi ro
KW  - Toán học
N1  - Includes bibliographical references and index; Why do a risk analysis? -- Planning a risk analysis -- The quality of a risk analysis -- Choice of model structure -- Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis -- Probability mathematics and simulation -- Building and running a model -- Some basic random processes -- Data and statistics -- Fitting distributions to data -- Sums of random variables -- Forecasting with uncertainty -- Modelling correlation and dependencies -- Eliciting from expert opinion -- Testing and modelling causal relationships -- Optimisation in risk analysis -- Checking and validating a model -- Discounted cashflow modelling -- Project risk analysis -- Insurance and finance risk analysis modelling -- Microbial food safety risk assessment -- Animal import risk assessment
UR  - http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0827/2007041696-b.html
ER  -