000			01959nam a2200373 a 4500
001			VNU120131247
005			20200924215232.0
008			120309s2008 xxc|||||||||||||||||eng||
020			_a0470512849 (cloth : alk. paper)
020			_a9780470512845 (cloth : alk. paper)
040			_aISVNU _bvie _cISVNU _eaaacr2
041	0		_aeng
044			_axxc
050			_aQA298 _b.V67 2008
082	7	4	_a658.4/0352 _222
090			_a658.4 _bVOS 2008
100	1		_aVose, David.
245	1	0	_aRisk analysis : _ba quantitative guide / _cDavid Vose.
250			_a3rd ed.
260			_aChichester, England ; _aHoboken, NJ : _bWiley, _c2008
300			_axiv, 735 p. : _bill. ; _c26 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references and index
505			_aWhy do a risk analysis? -- Planning a risk analysis -- The quality of a risk analysis -- Choice of model structure -- Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis -- Probability mathematics and simulation -- Building and running a model -- Some basic random processes -- Data and statistics -- Fitting distributions to data -- Sums of random variables -- Forecasting with uncertainty -- Modelling correlation and dependencies -- Eliciting from expert opinion -- Testing and modelling causal relationships -- Optimisation in risk analysis -- Checking and validating a model -- Discounted cashflow modelling -- Project risk analysis -- Insurance and finance risk analysis modelling -- Microbial food safety risk assessment -- Animal import risk assessment.
650		0	_aMonte Carlo method.
650		0	_aRisk assessment _xMathematical models.
653			_aQuản lý điều hành
653			_aQuản lý rủi ro
653			_aToán học
856			_3Contributor biographical information _uhttp://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0827/2007041696-b.html
912			_aHoàng Yến
913			_aKhoa Quốc tế 01
914			_aLê Thị Hải Anh1
942			_2ddc _cBK
999			_c2291 _d2291